New construction buyers in Sacramento , look out. The nation’s home builders are predicting a strong 2012 for new home sales. It may mean higher home prices as the spring buying season approaches.

It’s not time to bring out the balloons and good china yet, as the housing market’s health has a long way to go. To put this in perspective, the current pace is less than half the rate in which those homes went up during the 1990s. Hopefully, this is emblematic of a gradual and sustained growth (and recovery).

Many analysts agree it could be years before homebuilders are fully recovered from the damage caused by the housing bust. But, builders are starting to see some signs of progress.

For the sixth straight month, the National Association of Homebuilders reports that homebuilder confidence is on the rise. The Housing Market Index climbed four points to 29 in February, the index’s highest reading since May 2007.

The Housing Market Index is now up 8 points in 8 weeks. The last time that happened was June 2003, a month during which the U.S. economy was regaining its footing, much like this month. It’s noteworthy that June 2003 marked the start of a 4-year bull run in the stock market that took equities up 54%.

The NAHB’s Housing Market Index itself is actually a composite reading. It’s the end-result of three separate surveys sent to home builders monthly.

The association’s questions are basic :

1. How are market conditions for the sale of new homes today?
2. How are market conditions for the sale of new homes in 6 months?
3. How is prospective buyer foot traffic?

In February, builders reported marked improvement across all three areas. Builders report that current home sales climbed 5 points; that sales expectations for the next 6 months climbed 5 points; and that buyer foot traffic climbed 1 point.

Most notable of all of the statistics, though, is that the nation’s home builders report that there are now twice as many buyers setting foot inside model units as compared to just 6 months ago.

This data is supported by the monthly New Home Sales report which shows rising sales and a shrinking new home inventory.

Because of this, today’s new home buyers throughout California  should expect fewer concessions from builders at the time of contract including fewer price brakes on a home and fewer free upgrades. Builders are optimistic for the future and, therefore, may be less willing to “make a deal”.

This spring may mark a good time of year to buy a new home. Rates are still low (went up today a bit) and should stay relatively low for the coming months.

If you would like a free credit analysis or loan pre-qualification don’t hesitate to contact me.

The government’s new, revamped HARP program is 6 weeks from release. Homeowners in California and nationwide are gearing up to refinance. Email me at dtharp@comstockmortgage and get on my First Call Reservation List.

HARP is an acronym. It stands for Home Affordable Refinance Program. HARP is the government’s loan product for “underwater homeowners”. HARP makes current mortgage rates available to responsible households which would otherwise be unable to refinance because the home lacks equity.

HARP originally launched in 2009. Its first iteration failed to reach a meaningful percentage of U.S. homeowners, however, because costs were high and loans were high-risk. With its re-release in a few weeks, the government has removed the hurdles to HARP, putting refinancing within reach for millions of U.S. households.

To qualify for HARP, homeowners must first meet 3 qualifying criteria.

First, their current mortgage must be backed Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. FHA- and VA-backed loans are HARP-ineligible, as are true jumbo loans (But conforming Jumbo is ok – see FAQ link at bottom) and loans backed by portfolio lenders.

• To check if your loan if Fannie Mae-backed, click here.
• To check if your loan if Freddie Mac-backed, click here.

Second, the existing mortgage must have been securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac prior on, or before, May 31, 2009. If you bought your home or refinanced it after that date, you are HARP-ineligible.

There are no exceptions to this rule.

And, third, the existing mortgage must be accompanied by a strong repayment history. Mortgage payment must have been paid on-time for the last 6 months, at least, and there may not be more than one 30-day late payment in the last 12 months.

If these 3 qualifiers are met, HARP applicants should find the approval process straight-forward :

• Fixed rate mortgages allow unlimited loan-to-value (i.e. you can be way underwater)
• The standard 7-year “waiting period” after a foreclosure is waived in full
• Except in rare cases, home appraisals aren’t required

Furthermore, HARP mortgage rates are expected to be on par with non-HARP rates, meaning that HARP homeowners in Sacramento will get the same rates and pay the same fees as everyone else. There’s no “penalty” for using HARP.

The revamped HARP is expected to be generally available beginning Monday, March 19, 2012.

To get a head-start on HARP, check with your loan officer for the complete list of HARP eligibility requirements, or give me a call.

Here is a link to HARP’s Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ).

Mortgage rates are at an all-time low in California. However, the low rates you see advertised on TV and online are only available to the home buyers and would-be refinancers whose credit scores are pristine. But beware - some of those low rates don’t exist and are merely used to hook you, but I will leave that story for another blog. Suffice to say, having a high credit score is often the difference between getting “the best rates” from your lender, and getting something worse.

The first part of improving your credit score is understanding how it works. In this 5-minute piece from NBC’s The Today Show, you’ll learn the basics :

• Why you shouldn’t close a credit card after you pay off a large debt
• What is the maximize balance to leave on your credit cards, relative to your credit limit
• What types of credit checks harm your credit scores, and which ones don’t

You’ll also learn how to shop for a mortgage with multiple lenders without having your credit score “dinged”, as well as several proven methods to raise your credit score quickly.

In the end, the act of applying for a mortgage early is a good idea. This will allow us to work through any errors on your credit report, or complete simple changes that can improve your scores and thus your interest rate!

If you would like a free credit analysis or loan pre-qualification don’t hesitate to contact me.

Traditionally, federal income taxes must be filed with the IRS on, or before, April 15 each year. The date has become such a part of U.S. culture that many people simply call it “Tax Day”.

This year, however, for the 3rd time in 7 years, your federal income taxes will not be due April 15. Instead, because of a combination of the calendar, a holiday, and tax law, Tax Day 2012 is delayed until Tuesday, April 17.

You will have two extra days to prepare and file your federal income taxes this year.

Here’s why.

First, April 15 is a Sunday and all federal offices are closed on Sundays. This means that taxes can’t be filed on April 15, as regularly scheduled. Rather, the tax due date should roll over to the first available business day — Monday.

However, Monday, April 16 is Emancipation Day, a holiday in the District of Columbia since 2005.

Emancipation Day honors President Abraham Lincoln’s April 16, 1862 signing of the Compensation Emancipation Act. All of Washington, D.C. is closed for the local holiday — including the offices of the IRS. Taxes can’t be due on this date because there will be nobody at the Internal Revenue Service to receive them.

Therefore, Tax Day rolls over to the next available business day, and that’s Tuesday, April 17. Despite the 2-day change, as a reminder, the deadline to file a federal tax return with extension has not changed. That filing date remains October 15, 2012.

Now go do your taxes! Or do what I do every year – file an extension and scramble to get them done by October 15th.

Falling mortgage rates make owning a home more affordable. Mortgage rates are directly tied to monthly mortgage payment so as mortgage rates drop, so does the cost of home-ownership.

It’s a money-saving time to buy a home in Sacramento — or to refinance one. Mortgage rates have never been this low in history.

According to Freddie Mac, last week, the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell to 3.87% nationwide for borrowers willing to pay an accompanying 0.8 discount points plus closing costs. 0.8 discount points is a one-time closing cost equal to 0.8 percent of your loan size, or $800 per $100,000 borrowed.

This represents an incredible value as compared to February of last year. Rates are creeping up this morning, but still very good. With the jobs report last Friday we are seeing some volatility.

It was exactly one year ago that mortgage rates begin their long slide lower. On February 11, 2011, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage reached its peak for the year, reading 5.05% in Freddie Mac’s nationwide survey. If you are among the many U.S. households that bought or refinanced a home around that time, you could choose to replace your current home loan with a new one and save close to 13% on your monthly mortgage payment.

13 percent saved on your mortgage is a noteworthy statistic.

Look at this 30-year fixed rate mortgage payment comparison over the last 12 months :

• February 2011 : $539.88 principal + interest per $100,000 borrowed
• February 2012 : $469.95 principal + interest per $100,000 borrowed

Because of falling mortgage rates, a homeowner with a $250,000 30-year fixed rate mortgage would save at least $175 per month just by refinancing into a new loan at today’s mortgage rates. That’s $2,100 in savings per year.

Even after accounting for discount points and closing costs, the “break-even point” on a mortgage like that can come relatively quickly. Or, if you are like some of my clients, this is your chance to take that savings and start applying it to your principal balance, thus paying off the loan sooner and saving more in interest.

We can’t predict mortgage rates so there’s no promise rates will stay like this forever. If you’re planning to buy a home or refinance one, the best way to keep your monthly payments down is to lock your rate while rates are still low.

The market looks ripe for that now.

The bigger question should be - Will the big banks  adopt the presidents plan? Polls show a majority of Americans are in favor of his plan but we know that means nothing unless the banks and congress make it so.

THE BANKS - From the banks perspective, the plan poses problems. It is meant to make it easier for homeowners that are “underwater” and current on their payments to refinance into a lower-rate mortgage, regardless of how far their homes’ value has fallen. They will contend this policy does not improve the homeowners’ equity position, thus they are still underwater and still a threat to walk away from their home. There are provisions via the HAMP program to write-down the borrowers principal balance, but not many are being done. Even with added pressure from the President to write down more loans, the banks are not budging.

THE PREZ - Many in favor of the banks adopting Obama’s plan feel the sooner debt is balanced, the sooner banks will lend again, homeowners will have a renewed confidence and start spending money again. A win-win for all. They contend it is a more sensible plan because its focus is on responsible homeowners in contrast with the first go-around that refinanced loans of already troubled homeowners.

Here is a link to the President’s 8-point detailed plan.

The key item to remember is that this is only a proposal, it does not have congressional approval and still has to work its way through the political system and big bank lobbyist. There is no way to predict how long if ever these changes will come to the market place.

Once again I am afraid, this may be much ado about nothing…..

Mortgage markets improved last week as news from the Federal Reserve, the U.S. economy, and Europe combined to spur new demand for mortgage-backed bonds.

Last week’s rally was sparked by the Federal Open Market Committee.

After its first meeting of the year, Chairman Ben Bernanke & Co. changed its projection for “exceptionally low rates” to at least late-2014. Previously, the Fed had said its benchmark Fed Funds Rate would remain low until 2013.

This, with the Fed’s message that further economic stimulus may be coming, led Wall Street investors to increase their bets on mortgage bonds, pushing up prices and pushing down yields.

Lower yields means lower rates.

Mortgage rates were also helped lower by mixed data on the U.S. economy including weaker-than-expected housing reports, and another setback in the Greece sovereign debt negotiations.

Each time that Eurozone leaders have failed to reach an expected accord with Greece since 2010, mortgage rates have dropped. Last week was no different.

This week, with a large amount of U.S. economic data due for release and a high-profile summit among European Union leaders, mortgage rates are poised to move. Unfortunately, we can’t know in which direction.

Some of the news that will move markets include :

• Monday : Personal Consumption Expenditures
• Tuesday : Consumer Confidence; Case-Shiller Index
• Wednesday : Construction Spending
• Thursday : Weekly Jobless Claims
• Friday : Non-Farm Payrolls;Factory Orders

Of all the economic releases, Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls has the most potential to move markets. More commonly called “the jobs report”, Non-Farm Payrolls details the monthly change in national employment and the national Unemployment Rate.

Jobs are the key to U.S. economic recovery so strength in jobs should result in higher mortgage rates throughout California and the country.

Mortgage rates remain very low. If you’re nervous about mortgage rates rising this week or next, it’s as good of a time as any to lock your rate with a lender, and start moving toward closing.

The Fed Funds Rate has been near zero percent since December 2008. To be fair, on Jan 13th we saw rates at their lowest mark in over a year, only to see them deteriorate over the last week and a half. With the Fed news today, we are seeing a marked improvement – but not to the levels we saw January 13th.

For the third consecutive month, the Fed Funds Rate vote was nearly unanimous. Just one FOMC member dissented in the 9-1 vote, objecting only to the language used in the Fed’s official statement.

In its press release, the Federal Reserve noted that the U.S. economy has “expanding moderately” since its last meeting in December 2011, adding that the growth is occurring despite “slowing in global growth” — a reference to ongoing economic uncertainty within the Eurozone. In a nutshell, the Fed is sending the signal that our economy is still in the gutter and needs help.

The Federal Reserve expects moderate economic expansion through the next few quarters but is wary of “strains” from global financial markets, and these three threats to the U.S. economy :

1. The housing sector remains “depressed”
2. The unemployment rate remains “elevated”
3. Fixed business investment has “slowed”

On the positive side, the FOMC said that household spending is rising and inflation remains in-check. The group also believes that employment will gradually improve nationwide going forward.

The Federal Reserve neither introduced new economic stimulus, nor discontinued existing market programs.

Immediately after the FOMC’s statement, mortgage markets rallied, pressuring mortgage rates to fall in and around Sacramento. It was a knee-jerk reaction and improvement, that has since come back to earth a bit.

Mortgage rates remain near all-time lows and, for homeowners willing to pay points plus closing costs, conventional, 30-year fixed rate mortgages can be locked at below 4 percent. If you’re in the process of buying or refinancing a home in California , it’s a good time to lock a mortgage rate with your lender.

The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is a one-day event slated for March 13, 2012.

Data was strong across all categories last week.

• Home Resales :Existing Home Sales rose 5%
• New Homes : Single-Family Housing Starts rose 4%
• Builders : Home Builder Confidence rose to a 5-year high
• Jobs : Jobless claims fell to lowest level since April 2008
• Inflation : CPI remained in balance

In addition, European leaders moved closer to a final resolution on the Greek sovereign debt default situation.

Overall, the action gave investors reason for optimism in the U.S. economy, and economies abroad. This drew money away from the U.S. mortgage bond market, which caused mortgage rates to rise. Also, don’t forget the new fees being passed-through to mortgage consumers to pay for the payroll tax cut – this is having an immediate negative effect on rates and fees

This week, mortgage rates may continue to rise this week; anchored by a 2-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Whenever the FOMC meets, mortgage rates can be volatile.

The Ben Bernanke-led FOMC is not expected to raise the Fed Funds Rate from its current target range near 0.000 percent, but it’s not what the Fed does that can change mortgage rates as much as it is what the Fed says.

After its 2-day meeting concludes Wednesday, the FOMC will issue its customary statement to the markets, to be followed by a press conference led by Chairman Bernanke. Wall Street will watch the press release and conference for clues about the Fed’s next steps and its outlook for the U.S. economy.

If the Fed indicates that the economy is growing, mortgage rates in Sacramento are likely to rise. Conversely, if the Fed indicates that the economy is slowing, mortgage rates are likely to fall.

Other factors influencing mortgage rates this week include the President’s annual State of the Union address (Tuesday), the Pending Home Sales Index (Wednesday) and New Homes Sales data for December (Thursday).

Mortgage rates remain low but may not stay that way. If you’re looking for the best rates of the year, this week may be your chance.

Foreclosure filings are fewer these days, according to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac. As a mortgage lender in Sacramento, and living in a state that has been hit hard by massive equity losses, this news is promising.

In December 2011, the number of foreclosure filings nationwide fell 9 percent from the month prior. Not since November 2007 has foreclosure activity been this sparse across the country.

The drop does not appear to be seasonal, either.

Last month’s foreclosure filings were down 20 percent from December 2010 with “foreclosure filing” defined to include any one of the following foreclosure-related events : (1) The serving of a default notice, (2) A scheduled home auction, or (3) A bank repossession. As a result of an unexpectedly strong year-end, 2011′s annual foreclosure rate was the lowest in 4 years.

One reason why the year may have closed so strongly is that Nevada, California, Michigan and Arizona — four states typically associated with high rates of foreclosures — each posted big drops in foreclosure filings between November and December, plus double-digit drops between December 2010 and December 2011.

In fact, among the country’s top 10 states for foreclosure activity, nine showed an annual foreclosure filing reduction.

Only Delaware worsened.

It’s also noteworthy that just 4 states accounted for half of last month’s total foreclosure filings.

• California : 25.8 percent of all foreclosure filings
• Florida : 12.0 percent of all foreclosure filings
• Michigan : 6.4 percent of all foreclosure filings
• Illinois : 6.2 percent of all foreclosure filings

Foreclosures are heavily concentrated, in other words. By contrast, the last 1% of activity is spread across 14 states.

According to the National Association of REALTORS®, distressed homes typically sell at “deep discounts“ as compared to say, non-distressed homes. However, when you buy a foreclosure home from a bank, it’s different from buying a home from a “person”. Purchase contract negotiations are different and months may pass before your closing is approved.

As a Sacramento home buyer — first-timer or investor — foreclosures can be a great way to find value. But, please seek counsel from a strong real estate professional. I can’t stress this enough. I have my real estate license as well as my NMLS, and even with that education and real-world training under my belt, I would not attempt to do this on my own.

If you’re buying foreclosure, therefore, seek the help of a professional real estate agent. Real estate agents have experience working in the process-heavy world of foreclosures and can help you come out ahead.